Ieșirile speculatorilor de pe monedele emergente, dar și tendința de depreciere a leului care se manifestă de mai multe luni, au făcut ca euro să atingă un nou maxim istoric.

Cursul euro a început săptămâna la 4,7627 lei și a urcat joi la 4,7669 lei, nou maxim istoric. Tranzacțiile de vineri s-au realizat în culoarul 4,764 – 4,769 lei, ceea ce a făcut ca media să scadă ușor, la 4,7667 lei. Piața s-a închis vineri la 4,767 lei pentru ca seara, pe cele internaționale, cotațiile să urce până la 4,772 lei.

În opinia analiștilor în următoarele săptămâni euro ar putea atinge noi recorduri pentru ca apoi să fie testat pragul psihologic de 4,8 lei.

Guvernatorul Mugur Isărescu afirma recent că fluctuaţia euro/leu, în culoarul 4,72 şi 4,76, este minoră în comparaţie cu evoluţiile forintului sau ale zlotului, care au avut variaţii mult mai mari.

Noul ministru de finanțe a punctat condițiile negative locale, „economia creşte cu 3% versus 5,5%, investiţiile străine mai mici după nouă luni decât anul trecut, industria are deja trei trimestre pe negativ şi am putea spune că sectorul industrial este în recesiune”.
Conform Eurostat, în România s-a înregistrat în octombrie cea mai ridicată rată a inflaţiei anuale din UE, de 3,2%. Această valoare este mai mică decât cea anunțată de INS de 3,4%.

Cursul monedei americane a crescut de la 4,3164 la 4,3343 lei, dar a încheiat perioada la 4,3224 lei.

Moneda elvețiană s-a apreciat de la 1,10 la 1,086 franci/euro, dar s-a depreciat vineri la 1,089 – 1,095. Cursul ei a urcat de la 4,3386 la 4,3832 lei dar a scăzut apoi la 4,3685 lei.

Prețul gramului de aur, stabilit de BNR a coborât vineri de la 204,6051 la 203,6272 lei, după ce marți a fost atins minimul ultimelor trei luni de 202,0404 lei. Uncia de aur testează pe piețele specializate scăderea sub valoarea-suport de la 1.450 dolari. Ea a fluctuat vineri între 1.463 și 1.469 dolari, minimul săptămânii fiind de 1.450 dolari.

Reglarea nivelului lichidității din piața interbancară nu a mai făcut necesară o operațiune de tip repo, prin care BNR atrage depozite de la băncile comerciale.

Această evoluție s-a reflectat și în cazul indicilor ROBOR, care au avut pe parcursul perioadei valori stabile.

Indicele ROBOR la trei luni, utilizat la calcularea dobânzilor la majoritatea creditelor în lei, a stagnat la 2,97%. Indicele la șase luni, folosit la calcularea ratelor la creditele ipotecare, s-a oprit la 3,05%, valoare care se mai înregistra la jumătatea lunii iunie, iar cel la 12 luni la 3,17%.

În lipsa publicării unor date economice fundamentale de pe cele două maluri ale Atlanticului, euro a beneficiat de reducerea averisiunii față de risc, piața mizând pe faptul că discuțiile dintre Washington și Beijing vor conduce la semnarea unui acord comercial.

De la o scădere la 1,0989 – 1,1016 dolari, moneda unică a urcat la sfârșitul perioadei la 1,1015 – 1,1057 dolari, cu piețele americane închizându-se la 1,1053 dolari.

Bitcoin și-a continuat scăderea pe platformele specializate. De la 9.100 dolari, la începutul săptămânii, criptomoneda a coborât vineri la 8.450 – 8.600 dolari.

Analiza cuprinde perioada 11 – 15 noiembrie

230 COMENTARII

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  128. Yet another issue is that video games are generally serious naturally with the main focus on finding out rather than leisure. Although, there is an entertainment element to keep children engaged, each one game is generally designed to focus on a specific set of skills or area, such as math or scientific disciplines. Thanks for your publication.

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